Alianza Limavs
ADT
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza Lima 2-0 ADT, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Lima 2-0 ADT
Original prediction
Alianza Lima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 73.2% | 74.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.20 | 17.7% | 17.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 10.16 | 9.1% | 7.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Alianza Lima 2–0 ADT
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
74.4%
Model confidence
74.4%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Alianza LimaLDLDW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ADTLLWLD
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza LimaADT
53.8Attack36.0
76.9Defence48.0
67.9Form29.3
66.5Power39.6
1.96xG0.47