Alianza Limavs
2 de Mayo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alianza Lima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while 2 de Mayo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 2 de Mayo hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60