GGOALVIO

Panama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 2/4/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Alianza FC are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Sporting San Miguelito are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza FC hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while Alianza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza FC

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Alianza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza FCLLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Sporting San MiguelitoWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Alianza FCSporting San Miguelito
46.4Attack33.3
62.3Defence59.6
50.7Form35.1
56.1Power44.6
1.24xG0.66
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