Alianza FCvs
Sporting San Miguelito
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/25/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza FC 1-0 Sporting San Miguelito, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza FC 1-3 Sporting San Miguelito
Original prediction
Alianza FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.9% | 44.7% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.4% | 28.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.6% | 26.7% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Projected Score
Alianza FC 1–0 Sporting San Miguelito
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Alianza FC
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Alianza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00