Alianza FCvs
San Francisco FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 9/6/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza FC 1-1 San Francisco FC
Original prediction
Alianza FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.4% | 43.3% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.1% | 25.1% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.4% | 31.6% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Alianza FC
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Alianza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60