Alianza Atleticovs
UTC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Copa De La Liga · 8/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Atletico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Atletico 1-1 UTC Cajamarca
Original prediction
Alianza Atletico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Record timestamp is not before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.2% | 46.6% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.8% | 26.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.0% | 27.2% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Alianza Atletico
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Alianza Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80