GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Atletico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alianza Atletico are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while UTC are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Primera División, while Alianza Atletico holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Atletico

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Alianza Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza AtleticoD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
UTCWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 2.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Alianza AtleticoUTC
41.3Attack38.1
58.7Defence46.0
42.9Form31.7
48.9Power41.3
1.47xG0.84
View match centre →