Alianza AtleticovsUCV Moquegua

Alianza Atletico are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Primera División, while Alianza Atletico holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.