Alianza AtleticovsTigre

Alianza Atletico are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tigre are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Tigre holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.