Alianza AtleticovsMacara

Alianza Atletico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Macara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.