GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/1/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Atletico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alianza Atletico are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cusco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera División, while Alianza Atletico holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Atletico

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

14.5%

Alianza Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alianza AtleticoLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CuscoDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza AtleticoCusco
41.3Attack50.0
58.7Defence53.0
42.9Form54.5
48.9Power53.1
1.22xG1.15
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