Alianza AtleticovsAlianza Lima

Alianza Atletico are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.