Aliağa FAŞvs
Menemen FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aliağa FAŞ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aliağa FAŞ 1-0 Menemen FK
Original prediction
Aliağa FAŞ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.6% | 47.4% | -17.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.2% | 26.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 5.91 | 15.3% | 26.5% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Aliağa FAŞ
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Aliağa FAŞ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40