Aliağa FAŞvs
Isparta 32 Spor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/13/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aliağa FAŞ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aliağa FAŞ 2-0 Isparta 32 Spor
Original prediction
Aliağa FAŞ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.1% | 50.0% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 25.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 19.7% | 24.4% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Aliağa FAŞ
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Aliağa FAŞ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00