Aliağa FAŞvs
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aliağa FAŞ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aliağa FAŞ 2-1 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Original prediction
Aliağa FAŞ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.3% | 43.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.3% | 29.7% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Aliağa FAŞ
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Aliağa FAŞ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20