GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tauras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Žalgiris II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tauras are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tauras hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Tauras holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tauras

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Žalgiris IILDDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TaurasWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Žalgiris IITauras
51.7Attack60.0
53.3Defence63.3
51.7Form63.3
53.2Power62.8
1.19xG1.59
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