Žalgiris IIvs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Žalgiris II 1-0 Neptūną Klaipėda
Original prediction
Žalgiris II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.5% | 40.4% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.9% | 24.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.6% | 34.7% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40