GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Žalgiris II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

75.7%

Model confidence

75.7%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Žalgiris IIWLLDL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FA Šiauliai IILLDWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Žalgiris IIFA Šiauliai II
51.7Attack30.0
53.3Defence25.0
51.7Form18.3
53.2Power27.7
2.71xG0.72
View match centre →