GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dainava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Žalgiris II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dainava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dainava

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Žalgiris IIDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
DainavaWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Žalgiris IIDainava
51.7Attack59.3
53.3Defence66.7
51.7Form63.0
53.2Power63.2
1.08xG1.57
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