Žalgiris IIvs
Babrungas
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Žalgiris II 0-1 Babrungas
Original prediction
Babrungas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 19.7% | 22.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.0% | 24.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.3% | 53.1% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00