Žalgiris IIvs
Atmosfera
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Žalgiris II 2-3 Atmosfera
Original prediction
Žalgiris II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.4% | 44.7% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 24.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 31.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Žalgiris II
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60