Algecirasvs
Rayo Majadahonda
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/4/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Algeciras · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Algeciras 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Algeciras 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda
Original prediction
Algeciras
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 49.0% | 39.0% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.2% | 31.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.8% | 29.8% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
Algeciras 0–0 Rayo Majadahonda
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Algeciras
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Algeciras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20