Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Alga are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alga hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Premier League, while Alga holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alga
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Alga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40