GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alfreton Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alfreton Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rylands are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rylands hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Alfreton Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alfreton Town

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

14.1%

Alfreton Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alfreton TownWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
RylandsLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Alfreton TownRylands
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power59.3
1.29xG1.25
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