GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/4/2023, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Alessandria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Triestina are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlessandriaWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TriestinaWWDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlessandriaTriestina
17.5Attack53.5
57.9Defence61.4
20.2Form56.1
34.3Power58.1
0.56xG1.33
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