Alessandriavs
Triestina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/4/2023, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Alessandria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Triestina are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80