Alessandriavs
Renate
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/17/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alessandria are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Renate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20