GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/29/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Sesto hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlessandriaLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pro SestoLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlessandriaPro Sesto
17.5Attack21.9
57.9Defence64.9
20.2Form30.7
34.3Power41.5
0.53xG0.57
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