Alessandriavs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/3/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alessandria · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alessandria are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.8 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Alessandria holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alessandria
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Alessandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80