GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alessandria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlessandriaDLWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AlessandriaPergolettese
17.5Attack38.6
57.9Defence56.1
20.2Form39.5
34.3Power45.8
0.65xG0.92
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