Alessandriavs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alessandria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80