Alessandriavs
Mantova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/13/2024, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80