GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/13/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlessandriaLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MantovaWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlessandriaMantova
17.5Attack63.2
57.9Defence72.8
20.2Form70.2
34.3Power68.8
0.38xG1.62
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