GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlessandriaLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzaneWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlessandriaLumezzane
17.5Attack43.0
57.9Defence57.9
20.2Form46.5
34.3Power50.8
0.62xG1.04
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