Alessandriavs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alessandria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40