Alessandriavs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/3/2023, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorenzuola hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80