Alessandriavs
Biellese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alessandria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alessandria 2-0 Biellese
Original prediction
Alessandria
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.3% | 41.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.4% | 28.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.3% | 30.0% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Alessandria
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Alessandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40