GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/31/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alessandria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atalanta II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (34.3 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlessandriaDWDLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atalanta IIWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlessandriaAtalanta II
17.5Attack37.7
57.9Defence68.4
20.2Form51.8
34.3Power54.4
0.46xG0.93
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