Alemannia Aachenvs
SV Meppen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alemannia Aachen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alemannia Aachen 0-3 SV Meppen
Original prediction
Alemannia Aachen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.5% | 51.8% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.5% | 24.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 17.0% | 24.1% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Alemannia Aachen
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20