Alemannia Aachenvs
Jahn Regensburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alemannia Aachen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alemannia Aachen 2-2 Jahn Regensburg
Original prediction
Alemannia Aachen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.5% | 54.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 22.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.6% | 23.3% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Alemannia Aachen
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00