Alemannia Aachenvs
Hansa Rostock
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hansa Rostock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alemannia Aachen 2-0 Hansa Rostock
Original prediction
Hansa Rostock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.4% | 36.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 21.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.8% | 41.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Hansa Rostock
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Hansa Rostock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80