Alemannia Aachenvs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alemannia Aachen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Original prediction
Alemannia Aachen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.6% | 42.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 26.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.3% | 31.0% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Alemannia Aachen
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40