Alemannia Aachenvs
FC Viktoria Köln
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Viktoria Köln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alemannia Aachen 2-5 FC Viktoria Köln
Original prediction
FC Viktoria Köln
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.5% | 35.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.3% | 27.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.2% | 36.9% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Viktoria Köln
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
FC Viktoria Köln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80