GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alemannia Aachen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alemannia Aachen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Borussia M'gladbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia M'gladbach II hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Regionalliga - West, while Alemannia Aachen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alemannia Aachen

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alemannia AachenWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Borussia M'gladbach IILLLLW

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Alemannia AachenBorussia M'gladbach II
63.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
73.5Form100.0
68.5Power91.7
1.77xG1.12
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