Alebrijes de OaxacavsVenados FC

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.