Alebrijes de OaxacavsVenados FC

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.