Alebrijes de OaxacavsVenados FC

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.