Alebrijes de OaxacavsTlaxcala

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.