Alebrijes de Oaxacavs
Tlaxcala
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/22/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alebrijes de Oaxaca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40