GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/22/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alebrijes de Oaxaca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TlaxcalaDLDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaTlaxcala
25.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
46.7Power18.3
1.70xG1.03
View match centre →