Alebrijes de OaxacavsTlaxcala

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.