Alebrijes de OaxacavsTepatitlán

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.