Alebrijes de OaxacavsTapatío

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tapatío are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.