Alebrijes de OaxacavsMonarcas

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Monarcas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.